← Segunda División 2022 · Fri, Mar 17, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Málaga CF win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 17' | 🟨 | Marcelo Saracchi · Levante UD |
| 61' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 61' | 🟥 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Rubén Yáñez · Málaga CF |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dani Cárdenas · Levante UD |
| 69' | 🟥 | Jorge de Frutos · Levante UD |
| 83' | 🟨 | Wesley · Levante UD |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Charly Musonda Jr |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 75.00 | 167.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 4.24 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1418.78 | 1635.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.87 | -23.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.80 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 26.44 |
| state index | -0.43 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |