← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.61 |
| Lugo win | 9% | 11.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Deportivo Alavés −1.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Jason · Deportivo Alavés |
| -5' | 🟥 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Miguel de la Fuente · Deportivo Alavés |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gui · Lugo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marc Carbo · Lugo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Abderrahman Rebbach · Deportivo Alavés |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Mendizorroza |
| coach days | 314.00 | 38.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1578.73 | 1357.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.17 | -17.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| league points | 57.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 4.90 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 28.39 |
| state index | 0.31 | -1.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |