← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Mar 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Burgos win | 17% | 5.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Burgos −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.34 |
| Over | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 34' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 54' | 🟨 | Raúl Navarro · Burgos |
| 74' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaspar Campos · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 648.00 | 1013.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1609.90 | 1527.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.25 | -4.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| league points | 60.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.76 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.45 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |