← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Cartagena win | 32% | 3.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cartagena +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jairo Izquierdo · Cartagena |
| 51' | ⚽ (og) | Alexandru Paşcanu · Cartagena |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 69' | 🟨 | Iván Martos · Cartagena |
| 82' | ⚽ | Armando Sadiku · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 124.00 | 793.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1454.86 | 1514.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.43 | 30.32 |
| eye test v1 | -1.26 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.79 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.79 |
| league points | 33.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 29.34 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |