← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Mar 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 26% | 3.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Zaragoza +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.42 |
| Over | 32% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Gui · Lugo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Lugo |
| 47' | 🟨 | Marcos Luna · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 32.00 | 124.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1355.36 | 1482.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.48 | -28.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.69 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 27.61 |
| state index | -1.35 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |