← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Mar 4, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 34% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Granada win | 32% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Granada +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.42 |
| Over | 33% | 2.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Shon Weissman · Granada |
| -5' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Granada |
| 8' | ⚽ | Gaspar Campos · Burgos |
| 61' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jorge Molina · Granada |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jonathan Silva · Granada |
| 83' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Artola · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟥 | Mourad El Ghezouani · Burgos |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jorge Molina · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 1006.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1540.81 | 1639.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.78 | 35.18 |
| eye test v1 | -1.31 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.00 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.87 |
| league points | 47.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 28.60 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |