← Segunda División 2022 · Mon, Feb 20, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Málaga CF win | 29% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 56% | 1.70 |
| Málaga CF +0 | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Gaizka Larrazabal · Zaragoza |
| 56' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Málaga CF |
| 75' | ⚽ | Lago Júnior · Málaga CF |
| 80' | 🟨 | Giuliano Simeone · Zaragoza |
| 82' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 3 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 50.00 | 111.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1407.61 | 1501.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.66 | -18.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 25.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 8.29 | 9.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.50 | 27.50 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |