← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Feb 18, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Eibar +0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Pantić · Lugo |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Stoichkov · Eibar |
| 45' | 🟥 | Javier Muñoz · Eibar |
| 77' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 82' | 🟨 | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 17.00 | 627.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1367.68 | 1575.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.72 | -33.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 22.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 27.20 |
| state index | -1.25 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |