← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Feb 11, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrián Cordero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| Lugo win | 12% | 9.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −1.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Las Palmas −1.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Lugo |
| 30' | ⚽ | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fabio González · Las Palmas |
| 45' | ⚽ | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 58' | 🟨 | Gui · Lugo |
| 59' | ⚽ | Loren Morón · Las Palmas |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sergi Cardona · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 406.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1622.38 | 1372.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.19 | -39.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.69 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 55.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 0.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 2.24 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 27.66 |
| state index | 0.72 | -1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.62 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |