← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Feb 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Deportivo Alavés win | 29% | 3.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Deportivo Alavés +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.35 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Abdelkabir Abqar · Deportivo Alavés |
| 20' | ⚽ | Mamadou Sylla · Deportivo Alavés |
| 46' | 🟨 | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 53' | ⚽ | Toni Moya · Deportivo Alavés |
| 55' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Antonio Sivera · Deportivo Alavés |
| 67' | ⚽ | Asier Villalibre · Deportivo Alavés |
| 72' | 🟨 | Giuliano Simeone · Zaragoza |
| 79' | ⚽ | Bebé · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Rubén Duarte · Deportivo Alavés |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 102.00 | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1518.62 | 1584.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.30 | 38.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| league points | 42.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 27.90 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |