← Segunda División 2022 · Mon, Feb 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.89 |
| Burgos win | 25% | 3.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Las Palmas +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 35' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 38' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 50' | 🟨 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Burgos |
| 54' | 🟨 | Loren Morón · Las Palmas |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jesús Areso · Burgos |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marvin Park · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 980.00 | 401.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1531.56 | 1623.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.00 | 18.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 41.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 64.60 |
| rest days | 8.20 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | 1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 25.98 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |