← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Feb 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Ibiza win | 32% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Ibiza +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.42 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Papakouli Diop · Ibiza |
| 11' | 🟨 | Jaume Cuellar Mendoza · Lugo |
| 40' | 🟨 | Fausto Grillo · Ibiza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Bruno Pires · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 4.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 3.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1374.47 | 1373.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.48 | -25.58 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 36.80 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | -1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 26.44 |
| state index | -1.23 | -1.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -1.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |