← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Jan 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Oviedo win | 26% | 3.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Huesca −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.34 |
| Over | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Joaquín Muñoz · Huesca |
| 38' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Koba Koindredi · Oviedo |
| 41' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Tarin · Oviedo |
| 42' | ⚽ | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jimmy Suárez · Oviedo |
| 57' | 🟥 | Luismi · Oviedo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 205.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.74 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1514.39 | 1535.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.39 | 3.24 |
| eye test v1 | -1.35 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.76 |
| league points | 34.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 8.19 | 8.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.33 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.23 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |