← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Jan 7, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Burgos win | 18% | 5.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Deportivo Alavés −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Nahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés |
| 23' | 🟨 | Salva Sevilla · Deportivo Alavés |
| 32' | 🟨 | Carlos Benavídez · Deportivo Alavés |
| 42' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 50' | 🟨 | Rubén Duarte · Deportivo Alavés |
| 50' | 🟨 | Raúl Navarro · Burgos |
| 68' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 72' | 🟨 | Curro · Burgos |
| 75' | ⚽ | Abderrahman Rebbach · Deportivo Alavés |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 3 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Mendizorroza |
| coach days | 251.00 | 950.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1546.80 | 1539.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.38 | -14.89 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 38.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 20.00 | 20.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.64 | 27.55 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |