← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Jan 7, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Málaga CF win | 31% | 3.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Tenerife +0.25 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Genaro · Málaga CF |
| 14' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 26' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Tenerife |
| 33' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 38' | 🟨 | Juan Soriano · Tenerife |
| 63' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 75' | ⚽ | Samuel Shashoua · Tenerife |
| 82' | 🟨 | Iván Romero · Tenerife |
| 86' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 6.00 | 797.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 4.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1416.82 | 1521.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.31 | -1.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 21.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 19.90 | 21.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 29.77 | 29.48 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |