← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Dec 17, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Granada +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Miguel Loureiro · Lugo |
| 22' | 🟨 | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
| 32' | 🟨 | Óscar Melendo · Granada |
| 40' | 🟨 | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
| 40' | 🟥 | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
| 45' | 🟨 | Njegoš Petrović · Granada |
| 47' | 🟨 | Víctor Díaz · Granada |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jaume Cuellar Mendoza · Lugo |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Hacen · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 46.00 | 46.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1402.97 | 1609.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.52 | 13.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 49.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 18.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.31 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 28.69 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.95 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |