← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Dec 11, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Mateo Busquets
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
| Albacete win | 17% | 5.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alberto Moleiro · Las Palmas |
| 52' | ⚽ | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 67' | 🟨 | Riki Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 78' | 🟨 | Oscar Clemente · Las Palmas |
| 82' | 🟨 | Saúl Coco · Las Palmas |
| 84' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan María Alcedo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 344.00 | 193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.35 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1611.83 | 1432.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.56 | -19.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 38.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 5.08 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.53 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 26.62 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.65 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |