← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Dec 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Burgos win | 14% | 7.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada −0.75 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Burgos −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Burgos |
| 5' | 🟨 | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 5' | 🟨 | Raúl Navarro · Burgos |
| 28' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Granada |
| 41' | ⚽ | Myrto Uzuni · Granada |
| 65' | 🟨 | Víctor Díaz · Granada |
| 78' | 🟨 | Curro · Burgos |
| 80' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 88' | 🟨 | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Soro · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Fernández |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 18 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 40.00 | 923.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1602.59 | 1548.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.84 | -10.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| league points | 35.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.40 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 2.90 | 3.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.33 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.65 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.57 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.17 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |