← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Dec 11, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 34' | ⚽ | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 43' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Lugo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Derik Lacerda · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 40.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1442.92 | 1410.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.49 | -16.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -1.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.65 | 27.21 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.25 | -1.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |