← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Dec 11, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Málaga CF win | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ibiza −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Genaro · Málaga CF |
| 31' | ⚽ | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ekain Zenitagoia · Ibiza |
| 71' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 40.00 | 101.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1400.29 | 1402.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.99 | 18.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 2.81 | 2.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 28.88 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |