← Segunda División 2022 · Thu, Dec 8, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Málaga CF win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Málaga CF +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Manolo Reina · Málaga CF |
| 10' | 🟨 | Ricard Sánchez · Granada |
| 37' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Málaga CF |
| 62' | ⚽ | José Callejón · Granada |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 76' | 🟨 | Víctor Meseguer · Granada |
| 83' | 🟨 | Miguel Rubio · Granada |
| 84' | 🟨 | Loren Zúñiga · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfred N'Diaye · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 98.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.71 |
| elo | 1398.47 | 1606.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.45 | -1.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 2.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.45 | 1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 30.03 | 27.63 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | 1.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |