← Segunda División 2022 · Mon, Dec 5, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Burgos win | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Burgos +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | José Amo · Ponferradina |
| 31' | ⚽ | Gaspar Campos · Burgos |
| 38' | ⚽ | Hugo Vallejo · Ponferradina |
| 69' | ⚽ | Mourad El Ghezouani · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 34.00 | 917.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1445.29 | 1550.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.96 | 21.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.90 |
| league points | 18.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 9.20 | 8.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.55 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |