← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Nov 27, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Víctor García
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Levante UD +0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Lugo +0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.66 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Sebas Moyano · Lugo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 34' | ⚽ (pen) | José Campaña · Levante UD |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jaume Cuellar Mendoza · Lugo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Roberto Soldado · Levante UD |
| 81' | 🟨 | Álejandro Cantero · Levante UD |
| 89' | 🟨 | Róber Pier · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 26.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1414.50 | 1637.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.99 | 14.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| league points | 14.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 33.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.52 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 29.32 |
| state index | -0.53 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.04 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |