← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Nov 26, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Ponferradina win | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.74 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Ponferradina |
| 35' | 🟨 | Giorgi Makaridze · Ponferradina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Ponferradina |
| 58' | ⚽ (og) | Erik Morán · Málaga CF |
| 75' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Loren Zúñiga · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 86.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1391.51 | 1455.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.68 | -9.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.80 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 28.06 | 28.18 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |