← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Nov 20, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Andorra (club) win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.53 |
| Lugo win | 16% | 6.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Andorra (club) −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 69' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Andorra (club) |
| 74' | ⚽ | Mustapha Bundu · Andorra (club) |
| 78' | ⚽ | Sinan Bakış · Andorra (club) |
| 86' | ⚽ | Sinan Bakış · Andorra (club) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Andorra (club) | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadi Nacional |
| coach days | 688.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1498.27 | 1426.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.43 | 4.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.60 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 90.00 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 37.20 |
| rest days | 14.91 | 12.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 2.69 | -1.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 26.38 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 2.38 | -1.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |