← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Nov 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 35% | 2.88 |
| Oviedo win | 33% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Oviedo +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 25' | 🟨 | Moises Delgado · Ponferradina |
| 57' | ⚽ | Borja Bastón · Oviedo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marco Sangalli · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Derik Lacerda · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | José Naranjo · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Costas · Oviedo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Derik Lacerda · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 18.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1455.49 | 1512.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.01 | -9.12 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | -1.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 13.80 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -1.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.63 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |