← Segunda División 2022 · Mon, Nov 7, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Andrés Fuentes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Lugo win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Lugo +0 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 25' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Cartagena |
| 76' | 🟥 | Alberto Rodríguez · Lugo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Neyder Lozano · Lugo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aarón Escandell · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟥 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 6.00 | 675.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1424.70 | 1546.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.08 | 8.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| league points | 13.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.08 | 4.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.87 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.97 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 30.18 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.59 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |