← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Tenerife win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Tenerife +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 73% | 1.32 |
| Over | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Borja Garcés · Tenerife |
| 2' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 49' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Tenerife |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mourad El Ghezouani · Burgos |
| 82' | 🟨 | Iván Romero · Tenerife |
| 83' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 88' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Burgos |
| 88' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 887.00 | 734.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1558.87 | 1506.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.10 | -24.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 1.00 | 0.68 |
| league points | 29.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.60 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 3.91 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 26.49 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.68 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |