← Segunda División 2022 · Fri, Nov 4, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Zaragoza win | 23% | 4.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.42 |
| Over | 33% | 2.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟥 | Carlos Benavídez · Deportivo Alavés |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés |
| 41' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Abdelkabir Abqar · Deportivo Alavés |
| 55' | 🟨 | Rubén Duarte · Deportivo Alavés |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 62' | ⚽ | Jason · Deportivo Alavés |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Mendizorroza |
| coach days | 187.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1571.62 | 1505.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.96 | 9.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| league points | 28.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 23.81 | — |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |