← Segunda División 2022 · Thu, Nov 3, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Málaga CF win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Cartagena −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟥 | Esteban Burgos · Málaga CF |
| 51' | ⚽ | Alfredo Ortuño · Cartagena |
| 60' | ⚽ | Cristián Gutiérrez · Málaga CF |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Cartagena |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pablo Vázquez · Cartagena |
| 77' | ⚽ | Isak Jansson · Cartagena |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 671.00 | 63.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1541.71 | 1388.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.29 | -6.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| league points | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 4.02 | 4.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.62 | 31.39 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |