← Segunda División 2022 · Tue, Nov 1, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 58% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Burgos win | 15% | 7.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Burgos −0.75 | 48% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 49' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 65' | ⚽ | Curro · Burgos |
| 82' | 🟨 | Juan Artola · Burgos |
| 84' | 🟨 | Aitor Córdoba · Burgos |
| 86' | 🟨 | Juan Artola · Burgos |
| 86' | 🟥 | Juan Artola · Burgos |
| 90' | ⚽ | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 304.00 | 883.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.78 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1602.97 | 1538.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.38 | 26.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.66 |
| league points | 26.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 3.14 | 2.94 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 12.80 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 2.53 | -1.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.88 | 27.15 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.69 | -1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |