← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Oct 29, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Ibiza win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ibiza −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Mourad El Ghezouani · Burgos |
| 21' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 27' | 🟨 | Raúl Navarro · Burgos |
| 38' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alejandro Gálvez · Ibiza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mourad El Ghezouani · Burgos |
| 88' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 90' | ⚽ | Juan Artola · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 880.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1529.66 | 1444.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.91 | -11.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 23.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.96 | 28.77 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |