← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Oct 23, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Burgos win | 27% | 3.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 23' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
| 30' | 🟨 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Burgos |
| 30' | ⚽ | Alberto Rodríguez · Lugo |
| 46' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 83' | 🟥 | Curro · Burgos |
| 89' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 570.00 | 874.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1412.51 | 1547.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.27 | 37.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 1.00 |
| league points | 9.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 38.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.73 | 27.43 |
| state index | -0.90 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -1.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |