← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Oct 16, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Ibiza win | 19% | 5.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cartagena −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 33' | 🟨 | Borja Valle · Cartagena |
| 44' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pablo De Blasis · Cartagena |
| 51' | ⚽ | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
| 83' | ⚽ | Armando Sadiku · Cartagena |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 653.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1538.89 | 1460.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.50 | -11.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| league points | 17.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.51 | 26.24 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |