← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Oct 16, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Mirandes win | 28% | 3.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Gaspar Campos · Burgos |
| 28' | 🟥 | José Antonio Caro · Burgos |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jesús Areso · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcos Paulo · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mourad El Ghezouani · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 26 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 867.00 | 257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 1.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1542.16 | 1442.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.31 | 13.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 1.00 | — |
| league points | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 4.09 | 2.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.63 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 23.43 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.44 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |