← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Oviedo win | 24% | 4.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Oviedo −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 18' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Oviedo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Javi Mier · Oviedo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Francho Serrano · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Zaragoza |
| 49' | ⚽ | Ángel Montoro · Oviedo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Gabriel Fuentes · Zaragoza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 161.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1508.80 | 1544.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.38 | -36.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 6.91 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | — | 27.57 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |