← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Oct 9, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Leganes win | 28% | 3.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Leganes −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 39' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gaku Shibasaki · Leganes |
| 55' | ⚽ | Borja Valle · Cartagena |
| 59' | ⚽ | Kenneth Omeruo · Leganes |
| 62' | 🟨 | Iker Undabarrena · Leganes |
| 74' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Leganes |
| 82' | 🟨 | Allan Nyom · Leganes |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 646.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 4.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1551.00 | 1478.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.69 | -17.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| league points | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |