← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Huesca −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Huesca |
| 37' | 🟨 | Manu Barreiro · Lugo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Gerard Valentín · Huesca |
| 61' | 🟥 | Florian Miguel · Huesca |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jaume Cuellar Mendoza · Lugo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Sebas Moyano · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Clavería · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 99.00 | 555.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1533.05 | 1424.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.48 | -35.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.20 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.57 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.46 | 26.08 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.17 | -0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |