← Segunda División 2022 · Mon, Oct 3, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Trujillo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Eibar win | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Eibar +0 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.58 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Eibar |
| 27' | 🟨 | Álvaro Tejero · Eibar |
| 35' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Zaragoza |
| 40' | 🟨 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 40' | 🟥 | Frederico Venâncio · Eibar |
| 52' | 🟨 | Róber · Eibar |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 75' | 🟨 | Gustavo Blanco · Eibar |
| 77' | 🟥 | Javier Muñoz · Eibar |
| 86' | 🟨 | Imanol García de Albéniz · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 8 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 155.00 | 489.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1507.36 | 1617.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.51 | -6.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.79 |
| league points | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 9.20 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.99 | 28.15 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |