← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Oct 2, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Álvaro Moreno
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Lugo win | 22% | 4.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Lugo −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 7' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 36' | 🟨 | Suleiman Camara · Ibiza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Nolito · Ibiza |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Juanpe · Lugo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
| 43' | ⚽ | Nolito · Ibiza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Iván Morante · Ibiza |
| 58' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Ibiza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ángel Baena · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ibiza | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic |
| coach days | 1.00 | 549.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 0.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1455.47 | 1431.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.64 | -14.77 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.67 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 27.98 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |