← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Oct 2, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Mateo Busquets
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Ponferradina win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Deportivo Alavés −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Luis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés |
| 22' | 🟨 | Paris Barandiaran · Ponferradina |
| 29' | ⚽ | Miguel de la Fuente · Deportivo Alavés |
| 35' | 🟨 | Salva Sevilla · Deportivo Alavés |
| 45' | 🟨 | Rubén Duarte · Deportivo Alavés |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kelechi Nwakali · Ponferradina |
| 71' | ⚽ (og) | Yuri · Deportivo Alavés |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Deportivo Alavés | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Mendizorroza |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 154.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 5.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1579.84 | 1475.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.61 | -37.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| league points | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 5.80 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 28.41 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | 1.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |