← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Sep 25, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Lugo |
| 40' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Tarin · Oviedo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jose Ricardo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 542.00 | 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1429.78 | 1565.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.63 | -3.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.42 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 28.50 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |