← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Sep 24, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Dámaso Arcediano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 36% | 3.00 |
| Ponferradina win | 34% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Tenerife +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 39' | ⚽ | Iván Romero · Tenerife |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jordan Lukaku · Ponferradina |
| 68' | ⚽ | Derik Lacerda · Ponferradina |
| 77' | 🟥 | Álex Corredera · Tenerife |
| 81' | 🟨 | Alexandru Paşcanu · Ponferradina |
| 82' | ⚽ | Waldo Rubio Marin · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Heriberto Tavares · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aldair · Ponferradina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 85.00 | 692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.99 | 1.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1475.76 | 1539.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.31 | -14.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 4.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 29.81 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |