← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Sep 17, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Francisco Hernández
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ibiza win | 20% | 4.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ibiza −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Oviedo −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Borja Sánchez · Oviedo |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jimmy Suárez · Oviedo |
| 36' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Tarin · Oviedo |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Ekain Zenitagoia · Ibiza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Samuel Obeng · Oviedo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Iván Morante · Ibiza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Coke · Ibiza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
| 90' | 🟥 | Juan Fernández · Ibiza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 78.00 | 290.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1579.97 | 1457.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.47 | -18.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |