← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Sep 11, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina win | 35% | 2.88 |
| Zaragoza win | 34% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ponferradina +0 | 51% | 1.96 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Giuliano Simeone · Zaragoza |
| 40' | 🟨 | Hugo Vallejo · Ponferradina |
| 44' | ⚽ | Kelechi Nwakali · Ponferradina |
| 51' | ⚽ | Giuliano Simeone · Zaragoza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sabit Abdulai · Ponferradina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ponferradina | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Toralín |
| coach days | 72.00 | 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.64 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1476.44 | 1498.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.63 | -8.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| league points | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |