← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Sep 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Lugo win | 30% | 3.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Deportivo Alavés +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 25' | 🟨 | Bruno Pires · Lugo |
| 48' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Sedlar · Deportivo Alavés |
| 65' | ⚽ | Taichi Hara · Deportivo Alavés |
| 68' | ⚽ | Nahuel Tenaglia · Deportivo Alavés |
| 72' | 🟨 | Antonio Sivera · Deportivo Alavés |
| 73' | 🟨 | Hacen · Lugo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Salva Sevilla · Deportivo Alavés |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jon Guridi · Deportivo Alavés |
| 85' | 🟨 | Rober González · Deportivo Alavés |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| 90' | 🟥 | Hacen · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rubén Duarte · Deportivo Alavés |
| 90' | 🟥 | Luis Rioja · Deportivo Alavés |
| coach days | 527.00 | 132.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 3.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1460.14 | 1563.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.21 | 4.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.00 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 5.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | -1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |