← Segunda División 2022 · Fri, Aug 26, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Zaragoza win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Cartagena −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 28' | 🟨 | Mikel Rico · Cartagena |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · Zaragoza |
| 37' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Zaragoza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Isak Jansson · Cartagena |
| 52' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Toni Datković · Cartagena |
| 70' | 🟨 | Radosav Petrović · Zaragoza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jaume Grau · Zaragoza |
| 79' | 🟥 | Jaume Grau · Zaragoza |
| 82' | ⚽ | Pablo De Blasis |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| 88' | 🟥 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| coach days | 602.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1511.78 | 1520.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.98 | 30.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.79 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 5.10 | 6.10 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 31.72 | 27.36 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |