← Segunda División 2022 · Sun, Aug 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
| Lugo win | 14% | 7.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Lugo −0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Nikola Šipčić · Tenerife |
| 37' | ⚽ | José Ángel Jurado · Tenerife |
| 44' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Tenerife |
| 59' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
| 59' | 🟥 | Álex Corredera · Tenerife |
| 64' | 🟨 | Aitor Sanz · Tenerife |
| 65' | ⚽ | Alberto Rodríguez · Lugo |
| 80' | 🟥 | Alberto Rodríguez · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 658.00 | 507.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1553.49 | 1431.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.03 | -30.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.40 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 8.21 | 6.10 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -1.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.44 | 28.44 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.01 | -1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |