← Segunda División 2022 · Mon, Aug 15, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Ponferradina win | 27% | 3.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ponferradina −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Derik Lacerda · Ponferradina |
| 35' | ⚽ | Mikel Rico · Cartagena |
| 51' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 53' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 61' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Ponferradina |
| 71' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Cartagena |
| 78' | 🟨 | Paris Barandiaran · Ponferradina |
| 88' | ⚽ | Borja Valle · Cartagena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Franchu · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 591.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 5.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1511.07 | 1500.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.90 | -20.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 30.03 | 26.98 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |