← Segunda División 2022 · Sat, Aug 13, 09:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Zaragoza win | 25% | 3.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Sidnei · Las Palmas |
| 43' | 🟨 | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 45' | 🟨 | Eric Curbelo · Las Palmas |
| 61' | 🟨 | Valentín Vada · Zaragoza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jonathan Viera · Las Palmas |
| 67' | 🟨 | Manu Molina · Zaragoza |
| 72' | 🟨 | Saúl Coco · Las Palmas |
| 76' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 20 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 224.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1562.67 | 1515.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.79 | 3.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.58 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 2.13 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 26.47 |
| state index | 0.56 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.98 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |